The signal and the noise : why most predictions fail-- but some don't / Nate Silver.
- New York : Penguin Press, 2012.
534 p. : ill. ; 25 cm.
Forecasting -- Methodology.
Forecasting -- History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
Knowledge, Theory of.
- Silver built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and became a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, Silver examines the world of prediction.
- A Catastrophic failure of prediction
Are you smarter than a television pundit
All I care about is W's and L's
For years you've been telling us that rain is green
Desperately seeking signal
How to drown in three feet of water
Less and less and less wrong
Rage against the machines
The poker bubble
If you can't beat 'em
A climate of healthy skepticism
What you don't know can hurt you.
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- 9781594204111 (hbk.)
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