Mathletics : How Gamblers, Managers, and Sports Enthusiasts Use Mathematics in Baseball, Basketball, and Football / Wayne L. Winston.
- Other records:
- With a New epilogue by the author
- Princeton, NJ : Princeton University Press, 
1 online resource (391 p.)
- Sports -- Mathematics.
- Local subjects:
- Sports -- Mathematics. (search)
- Electronic books.
- Mathletics is a remarkably entertaining book that shows readers how to use simple mathematics to analyze a range of statistical and probability-related questions in professional baseball, basketball, and football, and in sports gambling. How does professional baseball evaluate hitters? Is a singles hitter like Wade Boggs more valuable than a power hitter like David Ortiz? Should NFL teams pass or run more often on first downs? Could professional basketball have used statistics to expose the crooked referee Tim Donaghy? Does money buy performance in professional sports? In Mathletics, Wayne Winston describes the mathematical methods that top coaches and managers use to evaluate players and improve team performance, and gives math enthusiasts the practical tools they need to enhance their understanding and enjoyment of their favorite sports--and maybe even gain the outside edge to winning bets. Mathletics blends fun math problems with sports stories of actual games, teams, and players, along with personal anecdotes from Winston's work as a sports consultant. Winston uses easy-to-read tables and illustrations to illuminate the techniques and ideas he presents, and all the necessary math concepts--such as arithmetic, basic statistics and probability, and Monte Carlo simulations--are fully explained in the examples. After reading Mathletics, you will understand why baseball teams should almost never bunt, why football overtime systems are unfair, why points, rebounds, and assists aren't enough to determine who's the NBA's best player--and much, much more. In a new epilogue, Winston discusses the stats and numerical analysis behind some recent sporting events, such as how the Dallas Mavericks used analytics to become the 2011 NBA champions.
List of Abbreviations
PART I. BASEBALL
1. Baseball's Pythagorean Theorem
2. Who Had a Better Year, Nomar Garciaparra or Ichiro Suzuki?
3. Evaluating Hitters by Linear Weights
4. Evaluating Hitters by Monte Carlo Simulation
5. Evaluating Baseball Pitchers and Forecasting Future Pitcher Performance
6. Baseball Decision- Making
7. Evaluating Fielders
8. Player Win Averages
9. The Value of Replacement Players
10. Park Factors
11. Streakiness in Sports
12. The Platoon Effect
13. Was Tony Perez a Great Clutch Hitter?
14. Pitch Count and Pitcher Effectiveness
15. Would Ted Williams Hit .406 Today?
16. Was Joe DiMaggio's 56- Game Hitting Streak the Greatest Sports Record of All Time?
17. Major League Equivalents
PART II. FOOTBALL
18. What Makes NFL Teams Win?
19. Who's Better, Tom Brady or Peyton Manning?
20. Football States and Values
21. Football Decision- Making 101
22. A State and Value Analysis of the 2006 Super Bowl Champion Colts
23. If Passing Is Better Than Running, Why Don't Teams Always Pass?
24. Should We Go for a One- Point or Two- Point Conversion
25. To Give Up the Ball Is Better Than to Receive
26. Why Is the NFL's Overtime System Fatally Flawed?
27. How Valuable Are High Draft Picks in the NFL?
PART III. BASKETBALL
28. Basketball Statistics 101
29. Linear Weights for Evaluating NBA Players
30. Adjusted+/-Player Ratings
31. NBA Lineup Analysis
32. Analyzing Team and Individual Matchups
33. NBA Players' Salaries and the Draft
34. Are NBA Officials Prejudiced?
35. Are College Basketball Games Fixed?
36. Did Tim Donaghy Fix NBA Games?
37. End- Game Basketball Strategy
PART IV. PLAYING WITH MONEY, AND OTHER TOPICS FOR SERIOUS SPORTS FANS
38. Sports Gambling 101
39. Freakonomics Meets the Bookmaker
40. Rating Sports Teams
41. Which League Has Greater Parity, The NFL or the NBA?
42. The Ratings Percentage Index (RPI)
43. From Point Ratings to Probabilities
44. Optimal Money Management
45. Ranking Great Sports Collapses
46. Can Money Buy Success?
47. Does Joey Crawford Hate the Spurs?
48. Does Fatigue Make Cowards of Us All?
49. Can the Bowl Championship Series Be Saved?
50. Comparing Players from Different Eras
Epilogue to the Paperback Edition
Index of Databases
- Description based upon print version of record.
Includes bibliographical references (pages 357-366) and index.
Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (publisher's Web site, viewed 08. Jul 2019)
- Publisher Number:
- 10.1515/9781400842070 doi
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