Franklin

Floods in a Changing Climate : Risk Management.

Other records:
Author/Creator:
Simonović, Slobodan P.
Publication:
Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2012.
Series:
International Hydrology Series
International Hydrology Series
Format/Description:
Book
1 online resource (206 pages)
Subjects:
Flood control.
Form/Genre:
Electronic books.
Summary:
Provides a flood risk-management framework for identifying and assessing climate-related risks and developing adaptation responses, for academic researchers and professionals.
Contents:
Intro
Contents
Forewords
Preface
Acknowledgments
Definitions
Acronyms and abbreviations
Introduction
The organization of the book
Use of the book
Part I Setting the stage
1 Flood risk management
1.1 The global flood problem
1.2 Problem context
1.3 Flood risk
1.4 How do we manage flood risk?
1.5 Systems view of flood risk management
1.6 Conclusions
1.7 Exercises
2 Climate change and risk of flooding
2.1 Floods and their physical characteristics
2.1.1 Floods caused by rainfall
2.1.2 Snowmelt and ice melt
2.1.3 Volume and timing modification
Effects of basin and channel morphology
Effects of human intervention
2.2 Climate change and variation impacts
2.2.1 Temperature
2.2.2 Precipitation
2.2.3 Monsoons
2.2.4 Flooding and climate change
Observed changes
Causes of changes
Future changes
2.3 Approaches for dealing with climate change
2.3.1 Mitigation
2.3.2 Adaptation
Systems view of adaptation
Methods of adaptation
2.4 Conclusions
2.5 Exercises
3 Risk management as adaptation to climate change
3.1 Flood risk management decision process
3.1.1 Six-step procedure for flood risk management
Step 1: Initiation
Step 2: Preliminary analysis
Step 3: Risk estimation
Step 4: Risk evaluation
Step 5: Risk control
Step 6: Action
3.2 Approaches to flood risk management as adaptation to climate change
3.2.1 Probabilistic approach
3.2.2 A fuzzy set approach
3.3 An example: Climate change-caused flood risk to municipal infrastructure, City of London (Ontario, Canada)
3.3.1 Background
Transportation
Bridges and culverts
Critical facilities
Stormwater management system
Flood control structures
Buildings
3.3.2 Overview of the risk assessment methodology
3.3.3 Climate modeling.
Climate modeling results: precipitation
3.3.4 Hydrologic modeling
3.3.5 Hydraulic modeling
3.3.6 Risk calculation
Risk index
Impact multipliers, IMi
Economic loss
3.3.7 Analysis of results
3.4 Conclusions
3.5 Exercises
Part II Flood risk management: probabilistic approach
4 Risk management: probabilistic approach
4.1 Mathematical definition of risk
4.2 Classification of risk
4.3 Risk criteria
4.4 Probabilistic risk modeling
4.4.1 Statistical independence-based risk modeling
4.4.2 Return period modeling
4.4.3 Flood risk and return period
4.5 Probabilistic tools for flood risk management
4.5.1 Monte Carlo simulation for flood risk management under climate change
Basics of Monte Carlo simulation
Monte Carlo simulation, climate change, and flood risk management
Monte Carlo simulation of future flooding conditions in the Okavango Delta
4.5.2 Evolutionary optimization for flood risk management
Basics of evolutionary optimization
Evolutionary optimization, climate change, and flood risk management
EVOLPRO computer program
Evolutionary optimization for flood flow forecasting with climate change implications in Choke Canyon Reservoir watershed, south Texas
4.5.3 Probabilistic multi-objective goal programming for flood risk management
Basic concepts of multi-objective analysis
Stochastic multi-objective analysis
Stochastic goal programming method
Stochastic goal programming, climate change, and flood risk management
LINPRO computer program
Stochastic multi-objective analysis for flood emergency logistics preparation in Taipei City, Taiwan
4.6 Conclusions
4.7 Exercises
Part III Flood risk management: fuzzy set approach
5 Risk management: fuzzy set approach
5.1 Paradigm change
5.1.1 Problems with probability in flood risk management.
5.1.2 Fuzziness and probability
5.2 Introduction to fuzzy sets
5.2.1 Basic definitions
5.2.2 Set-theoretic operations for fuzzy sets
Intersection
Union
Complement
AND-OR operators
5.2.3 Fuzzy arithmetic operations for fuzzy sets
5.2.4 Comparison operations on fuzzy sets
Weighted center of gravity method (WCoG)
Fuzzy acceptability measure
5.2.5 Development of fuzzy membership functions
Review of methods for development of membership functions
Development of a fuzzy membership function for flood risk management
5.3 Fuzzy risk definition
5.3.1 Partial failure
Fuzzy representation of the acceptable performance
Fuzzy representation of the system-state
Fuzzy compatibility
5.3.2 Fuzzy reliability-vulnerability
5.3.3 Fuzzy robustness
5.3.4 Fuzzy resiliency
5.4 Fuzzy tools for flood risk management under climate change
5.4.1 Fuzzy simulation for flood risk management under climate change
Basics of fuzzy rule-based simulation
Fuzzy rule-based simulation, climate change, and flood risk management
Fuzzy simulation for the design of municipal water infrastructure under climate change
5.4.2 Fuzzy linear programming for flood risk management under climate change
Basics of fuzzy linear programming
Fuzzy optimization, climate change, and flood risk management
Fuzzy optimization of a flood control reservoir
5.4.3 Fuzzy multi-objective analysis for flood risk management under climate change
Method for generation of fuzzy non-dominated set of solutions
Fuzzy compromise programming
Fuzzy multi-objective analysis, climate change, and flood risk management
FUZZYCOMPRO computer program
Fuzzy multi-objective analysis of flood management alternatives in the Red River basin, Manitoba, Canada
5.5 Conclusions
5.6 Exercises
Part IV Future perspectives.
6 Future perspectives
6.1 Understanding climate change and flood risk management
6.2 Adaptive flood risk management under climate change
6.3 Risk communication
6.4 Conclusions
References
Index.
Notes:
Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
Local notes:
Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2021. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
Other format:
Print version: Simonović, Slobodan P. Floods in a Changing Climate
ISBN:
9781139844901
9781107018747
OCLC:
817703142
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